Informácie o knihe
‘Probably the UK’s greatest living statistician’ TelegraphFrom the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
| EAN : | 9780241658628 |
| Katalógové číslo: | 1411490 |
| Rok vydania: | 2024 |
| Jazyk: | anglický |
| Počet strán: | 416 |
| Väzba: | Hardback |
| |
| |
dostupnosť v našich predajniach
Údaje o skladovej dostupnosti sú len orientačné a môžu sa v priebehu dňa meniť. Ceny v predajniach sa môžu líšiť od
internetových cien. Skladové zásoby v našich predajniach neslúžia na vybavovanie internetových objednávok.
- titul je skladom
- posledné kusy
- momentálne nedostupný
- Banská Bystrica - OD Prior
- Bratislava - Obchodná 62
- Bratislava - OC Danubia
- Bratislava - OC RETRO
- Bratislava - Tesco EXTRA, Zlaté Piesky
- Košice - Železničná stanica
- Liptovský Mikuláš - OC Centrál
- Martin - Ulica 29. augusta 5
- Nitra - OD Prior
- Partizánske - OD Prior
- Piešťany - OD Prior
- Považská Bystrica - OD Prior
- Prievidza - OD Prior
- Trenčín - OD Prior
- Trenčín - OC Južanka
- Trnava - OD Coop Jednota
- Zvolen - OD Prior
- Žiar nad Hronom - OD Prior